ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI IMPOR DAGING SAPI DI INDONESIA PERIODE 1988-2017 (DENGAN MENGGUNAKAN METODE VECM/ VECTOR ERROR CORRECTION MODEL)
Abstract
Data show that the last 5 years where the number of residents increased
from 2013 to 2017, nor with the more consumer goods imports increased year
despite the decline in 2015. Beef production in Indonesia was in 2013 and 2014
exceeded the demand for public consumption data Indonesia. Of course this is an
interesting thing where should the existing beef production in 2013 and 2014 to
fulfill the needs for the year. But even in that year the Government of Indonesia
provide import policy. Kuanitatif penellitian using this type. This quantitative
method using VECM (Vector Error Correction Model). The results showed in the
short term, GDP lag 1 (+) significantly and inflation on the lag 1 (-) as well as a
significant effect on beef imports in Indonesia. Meanwhile, beef production, the
number of people in the short term does not show a significant effect on beef
imports in Indonesia. In the long term, the production of beef on the lag 1 (+)
significantly, GDP lag 1 (-) significantly and inflation on the lag 1 (-) significant
effect on beef imports in Indonesia. Meanwhile, the population in the long run
does not show a significant effect on beef imports. In the long term, the production
of beef on the lag 1 (+) significantly, GDP lag 1 (-) significantly and inflation on
the lag 1 (-) significant effect on beef imports in Indonesia.Meanwhile, the
population in the long term does not show a significant effect on beef imports.