ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI EKSPOR KARET INDONESIA TAHUN 1988-2017 PENDEKATAN ERROR CORRECTION MODEL (ECM)
Abstract
This research was carried out to find out and analyze the effect of production, exchange rates, the average price of international rubber, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the United States against the export of rubber Indonesia. The sample used 30 time series data from the period in 1988-2017 that would serve as the object of research. Based on the analysis that has been carried out obtained in the short term production variable and exchange rates has a positive and significant relationship towards the export of rubbe Indonesia, whereas variables the average proce of interntional rubber and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the United States has a positive influence and not significantly to export rubber Indonesia and in the long term production variable and exchange rates has a positive and significant influence against the export of rubber Indonesia, while Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the United States has a negative influence and rubber exports significantly to Indonesia and the average
2
price of international rubber has a positive influence and insignificant against the export of rubber